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How To Bet UFC 255: Betting Odds and Predictions

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How To Bet UFC 255: Betting Odds and Predictions

How To Bet UFC 255 11/21: Odds and Predictions for UFC 255

by Moose Jester

Are you one of the lucky ones in a legal jurisdiction where you can place on the tonight's UFC 255? Well, congrats! Here are a few notes and predictions to help you make better bets. Be sure to read all the way to the end for my top UFC 255 bets. 

Note: If you live in and are able to wager in New Jersey, Indiana or Colorado, we recommend signing up to SugarHouse New Jersey, BetRivers Indiana, or BetRivers Colorado, respectively, and use promo code 250MATCH to get up 100% on your first deposit up to $250.

What type of bets are there?

Moneyline

Probably the most popular type of bets because it’s the simplest. Pick which fighter will win.

Total Rounds

Total round wagers are just that -- the total number of rounds a fight will go and is mostly in half-points (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5). A half a round is considered to be the midpoint in the round (2 minutes 30 seconds). I have never seen a sportsbook use any other definition, but always make sure to read the house rules to make sure this is correct.

In the market below, under is the winner if the fight ends before 2:30 in the second round. If the fight continues past the 2:30 mark in the second round, then the over is the winner.

To Go The Distance

This type of wager is a Yes/No type prop where Yes is the winner if the fight finishes all rounds and goes to the judges (‘the distance’). If the fight does not, then No will be the winner.

Other bet types

While the three listed above are the most popular, they are not the only bet types, including Winning Method (e.g. fighter to win by submission), Winning Round (e.g. Fighter to win in Round 1), and many more. Go check them out!

Betting strategies

Tell a story

Just like we always say in DFS, make sure your bets tell a story. Don’t bet a fighter to win by decision as well as the fight won’t go to decision. The only time something like this makes sense is if both bets are large underdogs.

Don’t double down on the same outcome

Just like telling a story and just like we say in our annual Super Bowl Props Guide, if you’re making small wagers don’t double down on what is essentially the same outcome. 

An example of this would be betting over 4.5 rounds and betting the fight to go to a decision. Another example would be a fighter to win by decision and over 2.5 rounds. Pick the one you’re most confident in and stick with that.

Line shopping

I will continue to talk about line shopping until the day I die. Different books -- for many reasons -- have different betting lines for the same event. I looked at a few sportsbooks acorss the US and their odds are listed below. You can click either the logo or the individual odd to be taken to that sportsbook page.

 

Fight #
Time (ET)		 NSS Fighters (OF Index)















NJ CO/IL/IN CO CO NJ CO/IN/NJ IA/IN/NJ NJ
11
11:25 PM		 24705 Jennifer Maia (48) +850 +850 +1,100 XX +900 +900 +725 +900
24706 Valentina Shevchenko (132) -1,667 -1,667 -1,429 XX -1,667 -1,667 -1,500 -1,600
24707 Total Rounds OVER 4.5 +175 4.5 +175 XX XX 4.5 +135 4.5 +135 2.5 -145 XX
24708 Total Rounds UNDER 4.5 -240 4.5 -240 XX XX 4.5 -162 4.5 -162 2.5 +115 XX
12
11:50 PM		 24709 Alex Perez (121) +215 +215 +250 XX +230 +230 +221 +230
24710 Deiveson Figueiredo (101) -286 -286 -256 XX -286 -286 -313 -280
24711 Total Rounds OVER 4.5 +320 4.5 +320 1.5 -179 XX 4.5 +230 4.5 +230 1.5 -186 XX
24712 Total Rounds UNDER 4.5 -500 4.5 -500 1.5 +136 XX 4.5 -286 4.5 -286 1.5 +144 XX
7
9:30 PM		 24713 Brandon Royval (63) +150 +150 +142 XX +145 +145 +155 +160
24714 Brandon Moreno (85) -190 -190 -156 XX -176 -176 -195 -190
24715 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -134 2.5 -134 XX XX 2.5 -139 2.5 -139 2.5 -136 XX
24716 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +100 2.5 +100 XX XX 2.5 +115 2.5 +115 2.5 +105 XX
8
10:10 PM		 24717 Mauricio Rua (83) +150 +150 +152 XX +150 +150 +150 +150
24718 Paul Craig (85) -190 -190 -159 XX -182 -182 -190 -175
24719 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -134 2.5 -134 2.5 -123 XX 2.5 -134 2.5 -134 2.5 -124 XX
24720 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +100 2.5 +100 2.5 -104 XX 2.5 +110 2.5 +110 2.5 -104 XX
9
10:35 PM		 24721 Katlyn Chookagian (42) +205 +205 +210 XX +215 +215 +196 +200
24722 Cynthia Calvillo (95) -265 -265 -244 XX -264 -264 -251 -240
24723 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -400 2.5 -400 XX XX 2.5 -358 2.5 -358 2.5 -417 XX
24724 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +275 2.5 +275 XX XX 2.5 +280 2.5 +280 2.5 +295 XX
10
11:05 PM		 24725 Tim Means (64) +103 +103 +100 XX +100 +100 -105 -110
24726 Mike Perry (74) -130 -130 -104 XX -121 -121 -120 -110
24727 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 +105 2.5 +105 XX XX 2.5 +110 2.5 +110 2.5 -109 XX
24728 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 -139 2.5 -139 XX XX 2.5 -134 2.5 -134 2.5 -118 XX
6
9:00 PM		 24729 Jordan Wright (76) +195 +195 +196 +200 +195 +195 +196 +200
24730 Joaquin Buckley (82) -250 -250 -217 -251 -239 -239 -251 -240
24731 Total Rounds OVER 1.5 +125 1.5 +125 1.5 +118 1.5 +125 2.5 +280 2.5 +280 1.5 +126 XX
24732 Total Rounds UNDER 1.5 -167 1.5 -167 1.5 -154 1.5 -176 2.5 -358 2.5 -358 1.5 -162 XX
3
7:40 PM		 24737 Jared Gooden (93) +120 +120 +120 +130 +135 +135 +121 +125
24738 Alan Jouban (84) -150 -150 -154 -162 -162 -162 -150 -150
24739 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 +100 2.5 +100 2.5 -101 XX 2.5 -106 2.5 -106 2.5 +102 XX
24740 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 -134 2.5 -134 2.5 -125 XX 2.5 -115 2.5 -115 2.5 -129 XX
2
7:10 PM		 24741 Dustin Stoltzfus (59) +230 +230 +270 +250 +255 +255 +240 +260
24742 Kyle Daukaus (96) -315 -315 -294 -334 -323 -323 -325 -330
24743 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -125 2.5 -125 2.5 -132 XX 2.5 -134 2.5 -134 2.5 -136 XX
24744 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 -106 2.5 -106 2.5 +104 XX 2.5 +110 2.5 +110 2.5 +106 XX
5
8:35 PM		 24745 Ariane Lipski (54) +130 +130 +134 +137 +130 +130 +130 +135
24746 Antonina Shevchenko (71) -167 -167 -141 -164 -154 -154 -165 -160
24747 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -315 2.5 -315 2.5 -294 1.5 -556 2.5 -304 2.5 -304 2.5 -313 XX
24748 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +221 2.5 +221 2.5 +220 1.5 +350 2.5 +245 2.5 +245 2.5 +235 XX
1
6:40 PM		 24749 Sasha Palatnikov (47) +325 +325 +400 +380 +375 +375 +350 +370
24750 Louis Cosce (98) -455 -455 -435 -501 -500 -500 -501 -490
24751 Total Rounds OVER 1.5 +130 1.5 +130 1.5 +124 XX 2.5 +280 2.5 +280 1.5 +130 XX
24752 Total Rounds UNDER 1.5 -177 1.5 -177 1.5 -159 XX 2.5 -358 2.5 -358 1.5 -167 XX
4
8:10 PM		 24753 Nicolas Dalby (42) +250 +250 +255 +250 +265 +265 +260 +260
24754 Daniel Rodriguez (106) -335 -335 -263 -334 -334 -334 -350 -330
24755 Total Rounds OVER 1.5 -182 1.5 -182 1.5 -182 1.5 -189 2.5 +110 2.5 +110 2.5 +111 XX
24756 Total Rounds UNDER 1.5 +135 1.5 +135 1.5 +142 1.5 +137 2.5 -134 2.5 -134 2.5 -141 XX


Below are a list of booster bets from our partnered sportsbooks. If you're a new user, you really should take part in these, as they are great bankroll builders:

BOOSTERS

PlaySugarhouse

  • No boosts this week

BetRivers

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BetMGM

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PointsBet

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Favorite Bets

  • Alan Jouban by KO/TKO +235
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  • Nicolas Dalby ML +265
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  • Jordan Wright to win by finish +300
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  • Mauricio Rua/Paul Craig YES go the distance +100
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  • Tim Means to win by finish +333
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Note: If you are able to wager in New Jersey, Indiana or Colorado, we recommend signing up to SugarHouse New Jersey, BetRivers Indiana, or BetRivers Colorado, respectively, and use promo code 250MATCH to get up 100% on your first deposit up to $250

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