How to Bet UFC Fight Night: June 13, 2020

by Moose Jester

Are you one of the lucky ones in a legal jurisdiction where you can place on the tonight's UFC Fight Night? Well, congrats! Here are a few notes to help you make better bets. Be sure to read all the way to the end for my top UFC Fight Night bets. 

(Note: If you are able to wager in New Jersey or Indiana, we recommend signing up to SugarHouse New Jersey or BetRivers Indiana, respectively, and use promo code 250MATCH to get up 100% on your first deposit up to $250)

What type of bets are there?

Moneyline

Probably the most popular type of bets because it’s the simplest. Pick which fighter will win.

Total Rounds

Total round wagers are just that -- the total number of rounds a fight will go and is mostly in half-points (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5). A half a round is considered to be the midpoint in the round (2 minutes 30 seconds). I have never seen a sportsbook use any other definition, but always make sure to read the house rules to make sure this is correct.

In the market below, under is the winner if the fight ends before 2:30 in the second round. If the fight continues past the 2:30 mark in the second round, then the over is the winner.

To Go The Distance

This type of wager is a Yes/No type prop where Yes is the winner if the fight finishes all rounds and goes to the judges (‘the distance’). If the fight does not, then No will be the winner.

Other bet types

While the three listed above are the most popular, they are not the only bet types, including Winning Method (e.g. fighter to win by submission), Winning Round (e.g. Fighter to win in Round 1), and many more. Go check them out!

Betting strategies

Tell a story

Just like we always say in DFS, make sure your bets tell a story. Don’t bet a fighter to win by decision as well as the fight won’t go to decision. The only time something like this makes sense is if both bets are large underdogs.

Don’t double down on the same outcome

Just like telling a story and just like we say in our annual Super Bowl Props Guide, if you’re making small wagers don’t double down on what is essentially the same outcome. 

An example of this would be betting over 4.5 rounds and betting the fight to go to a decision. Another example would be Anthony Ivy to win by decision and over 2.5 rounds. Pick the one you’re most confident in and stick with that.

Line shopping

I will continue to talk about line shopping until the day I die. Different books -- for many reasons -- have different betting lines for the same event. I looked at a few sportsbooks in New Jersey at the Calvillo-Eye fight and compared the odds. The best is in green; the worst is in red.

I know it is only a difference in a few cents, but over time the cents add up. You should be line shopping at all the sportsbooks you have for every wager you make.

Favorite Bets

• Calvillo -130 LIVE IN INDIANA? BET THIS NOW AT BETRIVERS. 
• Julia Avila by KO, TKO or DQ +130 LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT SUGARHOUSE

(Note: If you are able to wager in New Jersey or Indiana, we recommend signing up to SugarHouse New Jersey or BetRivers Indiana, respectively, and use promo code 250MATCH to get up 100% on your first deposit up to $250)