How To Bet UFC Fight Night 8/22: Odds and Predictions for UFC Vegas 7
by Moose Jester
Are you one of the lucky ones in a legal jurisdiction where you can place on the tonight's UFC Fight Night 8/22? Well, congrats! Here are a few notes and predictions to help you make better bets. Be sure to read all the way to the end for my top UFC Vegas 7 bets.
Note: If you live in and are able to wager in New Jersey, Indiana or Colorado, we recommend signing up to SugarHouse New Jersey, BetRivers Indiana, or BetRivers Colorado, respectively, and use promo code 250MATCH to get up 100% on your first deposit up to $250.
What type of bets are there?
Moneyline
Probably the most popular type of bets because it’s the simplest. Pick which fighter will win.
Total Rounds
Total round wagers are just that -- the total number of rounds a fight will go and is mostly in half-points (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5). A half a round is considered to be the midpoint in the round (2 minutes 30 seconds). I have never seen a sportsbook use any other definition, but always make sure to read the house rules to make sure this is correct.
In the market below, under is the winner if the fight ends before 2:30 in the second round. If the fight continues past the 2:30 mark in the second round, then the over is the winner.
To Go The Distance
This type of wager is a Yes/No type prop where Yes is the winner if the fight finishes all rounds and goes to the judges (‘the distance’). If the fight does not, then No will be the winner.
Other bet types
While the three listed above are the most popular, they are not the only bet types, including Winning Method (e.g. fighter to win by submission), Winning Round (e.g. Fighter to win in Round 1), and many more. Go check them out!
Betting strategies
Tell a story
Just like we always say in DFS, make sure your bets tell a story. Don’t bet a fighter to win by decision as well as the fight won’t go to decision. The only time something like this makes sense is if both bets are large underdogs.
Don’t double down on the same outcome
Just like telling a story and just like we say in our annual Super Bowl Props Guide, if you’re making small wagers don’t double down on what is essentially the same outcome.
An example of this would be betting over 4.5 rounds and betting the fight to go to a decision. Another example would be a fighter to win by decision and over 2.5 rounds. Pick the one you’re most confident in and stick with that.
Line shopping
I will continue to talk about line shopping until the day I die. Different books -- for many reasons -- have different betting lines for the same event. I looked at a few sportsbooks in New Jersey and their odds are listed below. You can click either the logo or the individual odd to be taken to that sportsbook page.
| Fight # |
Fighters (OF Index) |  |
 |
 |
 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 9:05 PM |
 Mariya Agapova (111) |
-1430 | -1429 | -1500 | -1400 |
 Shana Dobson (27) |
750 | 825 | 725 | 800 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 1.5(122/-165) | 2.5(210/-278) | 1.5(125/-159) | 1.5(125/-167) | |
| 10 10:20 PM |
Frankie Edgar (86) |
225 | 225 | 215 | 230 |
 Pedro Munhoz (113) |
-278 | -278 | -280 | -280 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 4.5(140/-180) | 4.5(135/-167) | 3.5(-102/-127) | 3.5(100/-138) | |
| 3 7:00 PM |
 Ike Villanueva (52) |
104 | -110 | 100 | 100 |
| Jordan Wright (82) |
-129 | -110 | -125 | -120 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 1.5(105/-137) | (/) | 1.5(-104/-124) | 1.5(100/-138) | |
| 4 7:25 PM |
Austin Hubbard (58) |
-112 | -106 | -110 | -105 |
| Joe Solecki (118) |
-112 | -115 | -115 | -115 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 2.5(-305/215) | 2.5(-278/225) | 2.5(-304/225) | 2.5(-300/225) | |
| 5 8:00 PM |
Mizuki Inoue (106) |
-137 | -137 | -140 | -130 |
| Amanda Lemos (109) |
110 | 115 | 113 | 110 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 2.5(-225/163) | 2.5(-228/175) | 2.5(-228/175) | 2.5(-250/175) | |
| 6 8:40 PM |
 Daniel Rodriguez (87) |
-230 | -223 | -240 | -230 |
| Dwight Grant (47) |
180 | 180 | 185 | 190 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 2.5(-186/141) | (/) | 2.5(-197/150) | 1.5(-143/105) | |
| 8 9:30 PM |
Mike Rodriguez (76) |
-240 | -228 | -251 | -230 |
| Marcin Prachnio (34) |
188 | 185 | 196 | 190 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 1.5(-106/-125) | 2.5(170/-209) | 1.5(106/-136) | 1.5(105/-143) | |
| 2 6:35 PM |
Matthew Semelsberger (90) |
-106 | 100 | -105 | 100 |
 Carlton Minus (65) |
-118 | -121 | -120 | -120 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 2.5(-195/143) | 2.5(-189/150) | 2.5(-186/144) | 2.5(-200/150) | |
| 9 9:55 PM |
Ovince Saint Preux (50) |
101 | 100 | 105 | 100 |
| Alonzo Menifield (64) |
-125 | -121 | -130 | -120 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 1.5(-125/-106) | 2.5(155/-189) | 1.5(-129/102) | 1.5(-138/100) | |
| 1 6:10 PM |
Trevin Jones (55) |
387 | 355 | 380 | 360 |
| Timur Valiev (115) |
-560 | -477 | -550 | -470 | |
| Total Rounds (over/under) | 2.5(-190/144) | (/) | 2.5(-200/155) | (/) |
Below are a list of booster bets from our partnered sportsbooks. If you're a new user, you really should take part in these, as they are great bankroll builders.I know it is only a difference in a few cents, but over time the cents add up. You should be line shopping at all the sportsbooks you have for every wager you make.
BOOSTERS
PlaySugarhouse (New Jersey Only)
BetRivers Indiana
BetRivers Colorado
- Frankie Edgar to win by any finish (KO/TKO/DQ/Submission) +550 (Colorado only)
BetRivers Illinois
- Frankie Edgar to win by any finish (KO/TKO/DQ/Submission) +550 (Illinois only)
BetMGM
PointsBet
- Pedro Munhoz to win by KO/TKO +170 (boosted from +130) (New Jersey, Indiana, or Iowa)
Favorite Bets
After going +2.7 units last week, we're up +3.7 units since posting our original article. Let's keep it going!
- Ike Villanueva to win in round 1 +350
LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT WILLIAM HILL - Timur Valiev to win by finish +200
LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT SUGARHOUSE - Mizuki Inoue to win -125
LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT WILLIAM HILL - Prachnio / Rodriguez under 1.5 rounds -136
LIVE IN NEW JERSEY, INDIANA, OR IOWA? BET THIS NOW AT POINTSBET
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