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How To Bet UFC Fight Night 8/29: Odds and Predictions for UFC Vegas 8

by Moose Jester

Are you one of the lucky ones in a legal jurisdiction where you can place on the tonight's UFC Fight Night 8/29? Well, congrats! Here are a few notes and predictions to help you make better bets. Be sure to read all the way to the end for my top UFC Vegas 8 bets. 

Note: If you live in and are able to wager in New Jersey, Indiana or Colorado, we recommend signing up to SugarHouse New JerseyBetRivers Indiana, or BetRivers Colorado, respectively, and use promo code 250MATCH to get up 100% on your first deposit up to $250.

What type of bets are there?

Moneyline

Probably the most popular type of bets because it’s the simplest. Pick which fighter will win.

Total Rounds

Total round wagers are just that -- the total number of rounds a fight will go and is mostly in half-points (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5). A half a round is considered to be the midpoint in the round (2 minutes 30 seconds). I have never seen a sportsbook use any other definition, but always make sure to read the house rules to make sure this is correct.

In the market below, under is the winner if the fight ends before 2:30 in the second round. If the fight continues past the 2:30 mark in the second round, then the over is the winner.

To Go The Distance

This type of wager is a Yes/No type prop where Yes is the winner if the fight finishes all rounds and goes to the judges (‘the distance’). If the fight does not, then No will be the winner.

Other bet types

While the three listed above are the most popular, they are not the only bet types, including Winning Method (e.g. fighter to win by submission), Winning Round (e.g. Fighter to win in Round 1), and many more. Go check them out!

Betting strategies

Tell a story

Just like we always say in DFS, make sure your bets tell a story. Don’t bet a fighter to win by decision as well as the fight won’t go to decision. The only time something like this makes sense is if both bets are large underdogs.

Don’t double down on the same outcome

Just like telling a story and just like we say in our annual Super Bowl Props Guide, if you’re making small wagers don’t double down on what is essentially the same outcome. 

An example of this would be betting over 4.5 rounds and betting the fight to go to a decision. Another example would be a fighter to win by decision and over 2.5 rounds. Pick the one you’re most confident in and stick with that.

Line shopping

I will continue to talk about line shopping until the day I die. Different books -- for many reasons -- have different betting lines for the same event. I looked at a few sportsbooks acorss the US and their odds are listed below. You can click either the logo or the individual odd to be taken to that sportsbook page.

Fight #
Time (ET)
NSS Fighters (OF Index)











NJ CO/IL/IN NJ CO/IN/NJ IA/IN/NJ NJ
6
8:20 PM
24349 Maki Pitolo (90) +115 +115 +125 +125 +115 +115
24350 Impa Kasanganay (111) -139 -139 -154 -154 -145 -135
24351 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -159 2.5 -159 2.5 -154 2.5 -154 2.5 -157 2.5 -163
24352 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +119 2.5 +119 2.5 +125 2.5 +125 2.5 +123 2.5 -163
11
10:50 PM
24401 Anthony Smith (36) +225 +225 +225 +225 +215 +220
24402 Aleksandar Rakic (89) -278 -278 -278 -278 -280 -270
24403 Total Rounds OVER 1.5 -167 1.5 -167 2.5 +115 2.5 +115 1.5 -170 1.5 -163
24404 Total Rounds UNDER 1.5 +125 1.5 +125 2.5 -143 2.5 -143 1.5 +132 1.5 -163
7
9:10 PM
24405 Ion Cutelaba (47) +250 +250 +255 +255 +240 +260
24406 Magomed Ankalaev (75) -335 -335 -323 -323 -325 -330
24407 Total Rounds OVER 1.5 -134 1.5 -134 2.5 +165 2.5 +165 1.5 -143 1.5 -125
24408 Total Rounds UNDER 1.5 +100 1.5 +100 2.5 -209 2.5 -209 1.5 +115 1.5 -125
3
7:00 PM
24409 Christian Aguilera (60) +330 +330 +300 +300 +320 +330
24410 Sean Brady (132) -455 -455 -400 -400 -450 -420
24411 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -148 2.5 -148 2.5 -143 2.5 -143 2.5 -148 2.5 -150
24412 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +109 2.5 +109 2.5 +115 2.5 +115 2.5 +115 2.5 -150
5
7:50 PM
24413 Alessio Di Chirico (77) -114 -114 -121 -121 -125 -120
24414 Zak Cummings (45) -109 -109 +100 +100 +100 +100
24415 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -245 2.5 -245 2.5 -228 2.5 -228 2.5 -244 2.5 -225
24416 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +177 2.5 +177 2.5 +180 2.5 +180 2.5 +185 2.5 -225
2
6:35 PM
24421 Emily Whitmire (68) -139 -139 -145 -145 -135 -135
24422 Polyana Viana (71) +110 +110 +120 +120 +108 +115
24423 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -200 2.5 -200 2.5 -189 2.5 -189 2.5 -186 2.5 -200
24424 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +145 2.5 +145 2.5 +150 2.5 +150 2.5 +144 2.5 -200
9
10:00 PM
24429 Ji Yeon Kim (43) +230 +230 +245 +245 +240 +250
24430 Alexa Grasso (70) -315 -315 -304 -304 -325 -310
24431 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -455 2.5 -455 2.5 -358 2.5 -358 2.5 -435 2.5 -400
24432 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +300 2.5 +300 2.5 +275 2.5 +275 2.5 +300 2.5 -400
1
6:10 PM
24433 Hannah Cifers (52) +239 +239 +260 +260 +240 +260
24434 Mallory Martin (113) -315 -315 -334 -334 -325 -330
24435 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -305 2.5 -305 2.5 -228 2.5 -228 2.5 -286 2.5 -225
24436 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +214 2.5 +214 2.5 +180 2.5 +180 2.5 +215 2.5 -225
10
10:25 PM
24437 Robbie Lawler (56) +200 +200 +200 +200 +200 +210
24438 Neil Magny (86) -250 -250 -250 -250 -260 -260
24439 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -265 2.5 -265 2.5 -223 2.5 -223 2.5 -251 2.5 -350
24440 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +188 2.5 +188 2.5 +175 2.5 +175 2.5 +190 2.5 -350
8
9:35 PM
24445 Bill Algeo (72) +240 +240 +255 +255 +240 +250
24446 Ricardo Lamas (93) -335 -335 -323 -323 -325 -310
24447 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 +110 2.5 +110 1.5 -176 1.5 -176 2.5 +111 X
24448 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 -152 2.5 -152 1.5 +140 1.5 +140 2.5 -141 X
4
7:25 PM
24449 Alex Caceres (63) -225 -225 -228 -228 -230 -220
24450 Austin Springer (107) +176 +176 +185 +185 +180 +180
24451 Total Rounds OVER 2.5 -186 2.5 -186 2.5 -193 2.5 -193 2.5 -209 X
24452 Total Rounds UNDER 2.5 +141 2.5 +141 2.5 +155 2.5 +155 2.5 +160 X


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I know it is only a difference in a few cents, but over time the cents add up. You should be line shopping at all the sportsbooks you have for every wager you make.

BOOSTERS

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BetMGM

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Favorite Bets

After going -2 units last week, we're up +1.7 units since posting our original article. Let's keep it going!

  • Polyana Viana by Submission +450
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  • Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO -114
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  • Kasanganay/Pitolo to go the distance -130
    LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT BETMGM
  • Caceres/Springer to go the distance -159
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Sports Betting Disclaimers
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