How To Bet UFC Fight Night 8/29: Odds and Predictions for UFC Vegas 8
by Moose Jester
Are you one of the lucky ones in a legal jurisdiction where you can place on the tonight's UFC Fight Night 8/29? Well, congrats! Here are a few notes and predictions to help you make better bets. Be sure to read all the way to the end for my top UFC Vegas 8 bets.
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What type of bets are there?
Probably the most popular type of bets because it’s the simplest. Pick which fighter will win.
Total round wagers are just that -- the total number of rounds a fight will go and is mostly in half-points (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5). A half a round is considered to be the midpoint in the round (2 minutes 30 seconds). I have never seen a sportsbook use any other definition, but always make sure to read the house rules to make sure this is correct.
In the market below, under is the winner if the fight ends before 2:30 in the second round. If the fight continues past the 2:30 mark in the second round, then the over is the winner.
To Go The Distance
This type of wager is a Yes/No type prop where Yes is the winner if the fight finishes all rounds and goes to the judges (‘the distance’). If the fight does not, then No will be the winner.
Other bet types
While the three listed above are the most popular, they are not the only bet types, including Winning Method (e.g. fighter to win by submission), Winning Round (e.g. Fighter to win in Round 1), and many more. Go check them out!
Tell a story
Just like we always say in DFS, make sure your bets tell a story. Don’t bet a fighter to win by decision as well as the fight won’t go to decision. The only time something like this makes sense is if both bets are large underdogs.
Don’t double down on the same outcome
Just like telling a story and just like we say in our annual Super Bowl Props Guide, if you’re making small wagers don’t double down on what is essentially the same outcome.
An example of this would be betting over 4.5 rounds and betting the fight to go to a decision. Another example would be a fighter to win by decision and over 2.5 rounds. Pick the one you’re most confident in and stick with that.
I will continue to talk about line shopping until the day I die. Different books -- for many reasons -- have different betting lines for the same event. I looked at a few sportsbooks acorss the US and their odds are listed below. You can click either the logo or the individual odd to be taken to that sportsbook page.
Below are a list of booster bets from our partnered sportsbooks. If you're a new user, you really should take part in these, as they are great bankroll builders.I know it is only a difference in a few cents, but over time the cents add up. You should be line shopping at all the sportsbooks you have for every wager you make.
PlaySugarhouse (New Jersey Only)
- Robbie Lawler to win by KO/TKO/DQ (UFC, 8/29) +400
- Anthony Smith to win by Decision (UFC, 8/29) +450
- Robbie Lawler to win by KO/TKO/DQ (UFC, 8/29) +400 (Indiana only)
- Anthony Smith to win by decision (UFC, 8/29) +450 (Indiana only)
- Robbie Lawler to win by KO/TKO/DQ (UFC, 8/29) +400 (Colorado only)
- Anthony Smith to win by decision (UFC, 8/29) +450 (Colorado only)
- Aleksandar Rakic to win by KO/TKO +150 (New Jersey)
- Alexa Grasso, Neil Magny, and Aleksandar Rakic to win +155 (New Jersey)
After going -2 units last week, we're up +1.7 units since posting our original article. Let's keep it going!
- Polyana Viana by Submission +450
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- Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO -114
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- Kasanganay/Pitolo to go the distance -130
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- Caceres/Springer to go the distance -159
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