How To Bet UFC Fight Night 8/29: Odds and Predictions for UFC Vegas 8

by Moose Jester

Are you one of the lucky ones in a legal jurisdiction where you can place on the tonight's UFC Fight Night 8/29? Well, congrats! Here are a few notes and predictions to help you make better bets. Be sure to read all the way to the end for my top UFC Vegas 8 bets.

Note: If you live in and are able to wager in New Jersey, Indiana or Colorado, we recommend signing up to SugarHouse New Jersey, BetRivers Indiana, or BetRivers Colorado, respectively, and use promo code 250MATCH to get up 100% on your first deposit up to $250.

What type of bets are there?

Moneyline

Probably the most popular type of bets because it’s the simplest. Pick which fighter will win.

Total Rounds

Total round wagers are just that -- the total number of rounds a fight will go and is mostly in half-points (1.5, 2.5, 3.5, 4.5). A half a round is considered to be the midpoint in the round (2 minutes 30 seconds). I have never seen a sportsbook use any other definition, but always make sure to read the house rules to make sure this is correct.

In the market below, under is the winner if the fight ends before 2:30 in the second round. If the fight continues past the 2:30 mark in the second round, then the over is the winner.

To Go The Distance

This type of wager is a Yes/No type prop where Yes is the winner if the fight finishes all rounds and goes to the judges (‘the distance’). If the fight does not, then No will be the winner.

Other bet types

While the three listed above are the most popular, they are not the only bet types, including Winning Method (e.g. fighter to win by submission), Winning Round (e.g. Fighter to win in Round 1), and many more. Go check them out!

Betting strategies

Tell a story

Just like we always say in DFS, make sure your bets tell a story. Don’t bet a fighter to win by decision as well as the fight won’t go to decision. The only time something like this makes sense is if both bets are large underdogs.

Don’t double down on the same outcome

Just like telling a story and just like we say in our annual Super Bowl Props Guide, if you’re making small wagers don’t double down on what is essentially the same outcome.

An example of this would be betting over 4.5 rounds and betting the fight to go to a decision. Another example would be a fighter to win by decision and over 2.5 rounds. Pick the one you’re most confident in and stick with that.

Line shopping

I will continue to talk about line shopping until the day I die. Different books -- for many reasons -- have different betting lines for the same event. I looked at a few sportsbooks acorss the US and their odds are listed below. You can click either the logo or the individual odd to be taken to that sportsbook page.

Fight # Time (ET)	NSS	Fighters (OF Index)
Fight # Time (ET)	NSS	Fighters (OF Index)	NJ	CO/IL/IN	NJ	CO/IN/NJ	IA/IN/NJ	NJ
6 8:20 PM	24349	Maki Pitolo (90)	+115	+115	+125	+125	+115	+115
	24350	Impa Kasanganay (111)	-139	-139	-154	-154	-145	-135
	24351	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 -159	2.5 -159	2.5 -154	2.5 -154	2.5 -157	2.5 -163
	24352	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 +119	2.5 +119	2.5 +125	2.5 +125	2.5 +123	2.5 -163
11 10:50 PM	24401	Anthony Smith (36)	+225	+225	+225	+225	+215	+220
	24402	Aleksandar Rakic (89)	-278	-278	-278	-278	-280	-270
	24403	Total Rounds OVER	1.5 -167	1.5 -167	2.5 +115	2.5 +115	1.5 -170	1.5 -163
	24404	Total Rounds UNDER	1.5 +125	1.5 +125	2.5 -143	2.5 -143	1.5 +132	1.5 -163
7 9:10 PM	24405	Ion Cutelaba (47)	+250	+250	+255	+255	+240	+260
	24406	Magomed Ankalaev (75)	-335	-335	-323	-323	-325	-330
	24407	Total Rounds OVER	1.5 -134	1.5 -134	2.5 +165	2.5 +165	1.5 -143	1.5 -125
	24408	Total Rounds UNDER	1.5 +100	1.5 +100	2.5 -209	2.5 -209	1.5 +115	1.5 -125
3 7:00 PM	24409	Christian Aguilera (60)	+330	+330	+300	+300	+320	+330
	24410	Sean Brady (132)	-455	-455	-400	-400	-450	-420
	24411	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 -148	2.5 -148	2.5 -143	2.5 -143	2.5 -148	2.5 -150
	24412	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 +109	2.5 +109	2.5 +115	2.5 +115	2.5 +115	2.5 -150
5 7:50 PM	24413	Alessio Di Chirico (77)	-114	-114	-121	-121	-125	-120
	24414	Zak Cummings (45)	-109	-109	+100	+100	+100	+100
	24415	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 -245	2.5 -245	2.5 -228	2.5 -228	2.5 -244	2.5 -225
	24416	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 +177	2.5 +177	2.5 +180	2.5 +180	2.5 +185	2.5 -225
2 6:35 PM	24421	Emily Whitmire (68)	-139	-139	-145	-145	-135	-135
	24422	Polyana Viana (71)	+110	+110	+120	+120	+108	+115
	24423	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 -200	2.5 -200	2.5 -189	2.5 -189	2.5 -186	2.5 -200
	24424	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 +145	2.5 +145	2.5 +150	2.5 +150	2.5 +144	2.5 -200
9 10:00 PM	24429	Ji Yeon Kim (43)	+230	+230	+245	+245	+240	+250
	24430	Alexa Grasso (70)	-315	-315	-304	-304	-325	-310
	24431	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 -455	2.5 -455	2.5 -358	2.5 -358	2.5 -435	2.5 -400
	24432	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 +300	2.5 +300	2.5 +275	2.5 +275	2.5 +300	2.5 -400
1 6:10 PM	24433	Hannah Cifers (52)	+239	+239	+260	+260	+240	+260
	24434	Mallory Martin (113)	-315	-315	-334	-334	-325	-330
	24435	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 -305	2.5 -305	2.5 -228	2.5 -228	2.5 -286	2.5 -225
	24436	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 +214	2.5 +214	2.5 +180	2.5 +180	2.5 +215	2.5 -225
10 10:25 PM	24437	Robbie Lawler (56)	+200	+200	+200	+200	+200	+210
	24438	Neil Magny (86)	-250	-250	-250	-250	-260	-260
	24439	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 -265	2.5 -265	2.5 -223	2.5 -223	2.5 -251	2.5 -350
	24440	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 +188	2.5 +188	2.5 +175	2.5 +175	2.5 +190	2.5 -350
8 9:35 PM	24445	Bill Algeo (72)	+240	+240	+255	+255	+240	+250
	24446	Ricardo Lamas (93)	-335	-335	-323	-323	-325	-310
	24447	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 +110	2.5 +110	1.5 -176	1.5 -176	2.5 +111	X
	24448	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 -152	2.5 -152	1.5 +140	1.5 +140	2.5 -141	X
4 7:25 PM	24449	Alex Caceres (63)	-225	-225	-228	-228	-230	-220
	24450	Austin Springer (107)	+176	+176	+185	+185	+180	+180
	24451	Total Rounds OVER	2.5 -186	2.5 -186	2.5 -193	2.5 -193	2.5 -209	X
	24452	Total Rounds UNDER	2.5 +141	2.5 +141	2.5 +155	2.5 +155	2.5 +160	X

Below are a list of booster bets from our partnered sportsbooks. If you're a new user, you really should take part in these, as they are great bankroll builders.I know it is only a difference in a few cents, but over time the cents add up. You should be line shopping at all the sportsbooks you have for every wager you make.

BOOSTERS

PlaySugarhouse (New Jersey Only)

BetRivers Indiana

Robbie Lawler to win by KO/TKO/DQ (UFC, 8/29) +400 (Indiana only)
Anthony Smith to win by decision (UFC, 8/29) +450 (Indiana only)

BetRivers Colorado

Robbie Lawler to win by KO/TKO/DQ (UFC, 8/29) +400 (Colorado only)
Anthony Smith to win by decision (UFC, 8/29) +450 (Colorado only)

BetRivers Illinois

None this week

BetMGM

Aleksandar Rakic to win by KO/TKO +150 (New Jersey)
Alexa Grasso, Neil Magny, and Aleksandar Rakic to win +155 (New Jersey)

PointsBet

Aleksandar Rakic to win by KO/TKO +140 (New Jersey)
Neil Magny to win by points +100 (Indiana)

Favorite Bets

After going -2 units last week, we're up +1.7 units since posting our original article. Let's keep it going!

Polyana Viana by Submission +450
LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT POINTSBET
Magomed Ankalaev by KO/TKO -114
LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT POINTSBET
Kasanganay/Pitolo to go the distance -130
LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT BETMGM
Caceres/Springer to go the distance -159
LIVE IN NEW JERSEY? BET THIS NOW AT SUGARHOUSE

Note: If you are able to wager in New Jersey, Indiana or Colorado, we recommend signing up to SugarHouse New Jersey, BetRivers Indiana, or BetRivers Colorado, respectively, and use promo code 250MATCH to get up 100% on your first deposit up to $250

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