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MLB DFS Picks & Lineup Advice: July 31st

MLB DFS PicksThe Daily Plug is our daily MLB DFS Picks & Strategy write-up that highlights the top plays from our Occupy Model.

Note: The MLB DFS Plug ended on Sunday, 7/31. The MLB Model will be updated for every single slate through the end of the World Series.

We’ll start by looking at betting odds and weather situations, then the Plug will provide actionable information for the main slate by making specific recommendations on how much of your bankroll to allocate and exactly which types of contests to play -- all depending on the type of player you are. Note: Plug only written for main slates with 5+ games; not usually fully updated until 6:00pm EST for evening slates.


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Consider the Daily Plug an in-depth road map for the main slate. Let’s get to it!

Midday updates are posted in BLUE. 

Notable Betting Odds:

View Live MLB Odds

Biggest Favorites:
CWS -286 (Dylan Cease)
NYY -278 (Jordan Montgomery)
TB -235 (Shane McClanahan)
ATL -235 (Max Fried)
LAD -195 (Tony Gonsolin)

Biggest Moneyline Moves:
NYY, -13 cents move
LAD, -13 cents move

Highest Implied Team Run Totals:
LAD: 7.32
NYY: 6.37
ATL: 5.39
CWS: 5.35
MIL: 5.35

Team Total Movement:
NYY: +0.46
LAD: +0.17
SEA: -0.27
HOU: -0.23

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Weather Situations to Target:

The LAD@COL game has another +26% adjustment to hitters, however, this game is only available on the FanDuel main slate today.

We also have a +8% hitter adjustment for ARI@ATL, and several +5% hitter adjustments: KC@NYY, MIL@BOS, OAK@CWS and STL@WAS.

Be sure to check the Occupy Weather Model for adjustments before lock. Keep up to date with the latest news as it will be updated here on the Daily Plug & via Twitter by following @OccupyFantasy.

Top Batters

As a reminder, these are our top MLB DFS picks by OF Index who are not a part of our top stacks below:

Kyle Schwarber, PHI
FanDuel: OF, $3,500, 0.00%
DraftKings: OF, $5,400, 0.00%
OF Index: 10.0
Badges: ⭐🎲💪

Aaron Judge, NYY
FanDuel: OF, $5,000, 0.00%
DraftKings: OF, $6,200, 0.00%
OF Index: 8.1
Badges: ⭐🍰📈☁️🎲💪

Darick Hall, PHI
FanDuel: C/1B, $2,900, 0.00%
DraftKings: 1B, $3,500, 0.00%
OF Index: 7.8
Badges: 💰🎲💪

What do the badges mean?

Want to read the rest?

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All cited splits and statistics courtesy of Fangraphs.com Splits Leaderboard tool or splits on a player’s profile page.