MLB DFS Picks & Lineup Advice: MLB Postseason
The Daily Plug is our daily MLB DFS Picks & Strategy write-up that highlights the top plays from our Occupy Model.
Note: There is no MLB Plug during the Postseason. What you see below is from the final regular season Plug of 2020. Check the Occupy Model for our rankings - it will be updated for every slate through the final game of the World Series.
We’ll start by looking at betting odds and weather situations, then the Plug will provide actionable information for the main slate by making specific recommendations on how much of your bankroll to allocate and exactly which types of contests to play -- all depending on the type of player you are. Note: Plug not usually fully updated until 5:00pm EST for evening slates.
Consider the Daily Plug an in-depth road map for the main slate. Let’s get to it!
Notable Betting Odds:
Cleveland Indians -205 (Aaron Civale)
Los Angeles Dodgers -195 (Tony Gonsolin)
Biggest Moneyline Moves:
Texas Rangers, -65 cents move
Los Angeles Angels, -40 cents move
Highest Implied Run Totals:
LA Dodgers, 5.65
CHI White Sox, 5.32
ATL Braves, 5.29
CLE Indians, 5.12
Team Total Movement:
TEX Rangers, +0.94 (REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT)
LA Angels, +0.41 (REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT)
PIT Pirates, +0.13 (REVERSE LINE MOVEMENT)
Weather Situations to Target:
We have a +23% adjustment for hitters projected for the COL@ARI game this evening. The OAK@SEA game has the highest chance of rain.
As a reminder, these are our top MLB DFS picks by OF Index who are not a part of our top stacks below:
Christian Yelich, MIL
FanDuel: OF, $4,000,
DraftKings: OF, $4,300
OF Index: 9.0
José Ramírez, CLE
FanDuel: 3B, $4,200,
DraftKings: 3B, $5,600
OF Index: 8.7
Mike Trout, LAA
FanDuel: OF, $4,300,
DraftKings: OF, $5,800
OF Index: 8.3
The 60 game sprint is much different than the grind of 162, I feel like we’re just getting started while writing the last top hitters section of 2020. It’s fitting that we end the season with several names that regularly appear in this section, and that begins with Christian Yelich of the Milwaukee Brewers. The Brewers must win these last two games to have a chance to reach the playoffs, so Yelich and co. need to get to Adam Wainwright early and often. An implied team total of 4.00 suggests an offensive outburst is unlikely, but Yelich himself is poised to lead the way with projections of .345 ISO and .449 wOBA. Add in his 3rd recent exit velocity ranking and you are strongly considering the Brewers star in all formats.
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All cited splits and statistics courtesy of Fangraphs.com Splits Leaderboard tool or splits on a player’s profile page.