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MLB DFS Picks & Lineup Advice: May 28th

The Daily Plug is our daily MLB DFS Picks & Strategy write-up that highlights the top plays from our Occupy Model.

We’ll start by looking at betting odds and weather situations, then the Plug will provide actionable information for the main slate by making specific recommendations on how much of your bankroll to allocate and exactly which types of contests to play -- all depending on the type of player you are. Note: Plug only written for main slates with 5+ games; not usually fully updated until 6:00pm EST for evening slates.

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Consider the Daily Plug an in-depth road map for the main slate. Let’s get to it!

Midday updates are posted in BLUE.

As always, these are the top picks from our Occupy Model for MLB. All premium subscribers have access to the full model. Need to upgrade from a standard to a premium subscription? Let us know and we’ll take care of you! 

On to the slate:

Notable Betting Odds:

View Live MLB Odds


Biggest Favorites:
BAL -157 (Kyle Bradish)
CHC -155 (Drew Smyly)
NYY -150 (Gerrit Cole)

Biggest Moneyline Moves:

BAL, -18 cents move
CWS, -12 cents move

Highest Implied Team Run Totals:

BAL: 5.29
STL: 4.70
SF: 4.63
WAS: 4.54

Team Total Movement:

BAL: +0.52
MIN: +0.16

CWS: -0.46
NYY: -0.28
SD: -0.22

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Weather Situations to Target:

There’s a +5% boost for hitters in SD@NYY given the above average temperatures.

There is a -8% dock to hitters in STL@CLE due to the lower than average temps.

Make sure to check the Occupy Weather Model for adjustments before lock. Keep up to date with the latest news as it will be updated here on the Daily Plug & via Twitter by following @OccupyFantasy.

Top Batters

As a reminder, these are our top MLB DFS picks by OF Index who are not a part of our top stacks below:


Mike Zunino, CLE

FanDuel: C/1B, $2,300, 1.39%
DraftKings: C, $2,900, 2.42%
OF Index: 8.9
Badges: 💰🎲💪💤

Joey Gallo, MIN
FanDuel: C/1B/OF, $3,000, 13.57%
DraftKings: 1B/OF, $4,000, 9.61%
OF Index: 7.9
Badges: 💰🎲💪

Salvador Perez, KC

FanDuel: C/1B, $3,200, 6.86%
DraftKings: C, $5,000, 13.05%
OF Index: 7.1
Badges: ⭐📈🎲

What do the badges mean?


Want to read the rest?

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All cited splits and statistics courtesy of Fangraphs.com Splits Leaderboard tool or splits on a player’s profile page.