NBA DFS Lineups Advice: August 11
The Daily Plug is our daily NBA DFS lineups advice write-up that highlights the top plays from our Occupy Model. The Plug then provides actionable information for the main slate by making specific recommendations on how much of your bankroll to allocate and exactly which types of contests to play -- all depending on the type of player you are. Consider the Plug an in-depth roadmap for the main slate. Let’s get to it! Alright enough chatting, lets see who is going to make your lineups special tonight! - @gstroms99 and @tboyle24_DFS
Note that the Plug is only written for slates with 5+ games and is posted at least 2 hours before lock on game days. Want analysis for every player in tonight's games for your NBA DFS lineups? Check out the Occupy Model.
We know value is important in NBA DFS, so we made two columns in our Occupy Model -- DK Value and FD Value -- to show how much value that player is on each site, as well as a dedicated injury report page. More nuanced advice for your NBA DFS lineups -- check it out:
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Betting Odds & Line Movements:
Highest Scoring Games:
POR (-4.5) @ DAL, o/u 238.5
HOU @ SAS (-3.5), o/u 237.5
NOP @ SAC (-2), o/u 232.5
MIL (-9) @ WSH, o/u 231.5
ORL: Terrence Ross (OUT), Aaron Gordon, Michael Carter-Williams, Evan Fournier (OUT)
NOP: Zion Williamson, Brandon Ingram, Jrue Holiday (OUT)
HOU: James Harden, Eric Gordon (OUT), Danuel House (OUT)
POR: Hassan Whiteside (Probable)
BKN: Caris LeVert, Jarrett Allen, Joe Harris, Jamal Crawford, Garrett Temple (OUT)
PHI: Joel Embiid, Josh Richardson (OUT), Al Horford, Tobias Harris (Questionable) HORFORD AND HARRIS OUT
BOS: Daniel Theis (Probable)
SAS: Bryn Forbes (OUT), Derrick White (Questionable) WHITE WILL PLAY
SAC: De’Aaron Fox, Richaun Holmes (OUT), Kent Bazemore (OUT)
WSH: Shabazz Napier (Questionable)
MIL: Giannis Antetokoumnpo (Questionable) MIDDLETON, BLEDSOE, MATTHEWS, DIVINCENZO OUT
TEAMS STILL PLAYING FOR SEEDING:
- San Antonio Spurs
- Houston Rockets
- Phoenix Suns
- Philadelphia 76ers
- Memphis Grizzlies
- Portland Trail Blazers
- Dallas Mavericks
Top Point Guards
Elite: Damian Lillard (DK: PG $9800, FD: PG $9900)
Value: Cory Joseph (DK: PG $3700, FD: PG $3600)
If you have paid attention the past few days, you have now been exposed to NBA DFS at its peak. This will most likely continue tonight, so get ready. With that being said, Damian Lillard is a strong pay up option tonight with all of the value you will have across the slate. The Trail Blazers are still fighting for the 8th seed in the playoffs and therefore should be a full-go. Lillard has played the Mavs three times this season and has produced 55+ DK points in two of them. In the third game, Lillard had his worst shooting performance, his least amount of assists and rebounds, and played the least amount of minutes. With his team fighting for the playoffs, expect Lillard to play as long as the game remains close. He has taken charge in the bubble, averaging 56.5 DK points and 41.5 minutes per game. With so much value on the slate tonight, Lillard is a great elite pay up.
De’Aaron Fox has been ruled out tonight with the Kings being mathematically eliminated from playoff contention, who will be playing their last game tonight. This means Cory Joseph is expected to see the start for the Kings and with this game meaning absolutely nothing, he could potentially see 25-30 minutes. The Kings have already played the Pelicans in the bubble and in this game Joseph saw 27 minutes and produced 25.25 DK points. Tonight though, he won't face many of the Pelicans starters on defense as they are resting most of their main crew. Joseph has shown upside of DK points in the 30’s and this game is expected to be fast paced and high scoring with the Pelicans being second in the league in pace. Joseph is a strong cheap play tonight in a meaningless game, but he carries some risk if Sacramento goes with the plan of running out guys who never play.
Other PG Options: Russell Westbrook (DK SLATE), Lonzo Ball, Ricky Rubio, Shake Milton, Chris Chiozza/Tyler Johnson (DK SLATE)
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