NBA DFS Lineups Advice: April 10
The Daily Plug is our daily NBA DFS lineups advice write-up that highlights the top plays from our Occupy Model. The Plug then provides actionable information for the main slate by making specific recommendations on how much of your bankroll to allocate and exactly which types of contests to play -- all depending on the type of player you are. Consider the Plug an in-depth roadmap for the main slate. Let’s get to it! Alright enough chatting, lets see who is going to make your lineups special tonight! - @gstroms99 and @tboyle24_DFS
Want analysis for every player in tonight's games for your NBA DFS lineups? Check out the Occupy Model.
We are always getting feedback from our members. We know value is important in NBA DFS, so we made two new columns in our Occupy Model -- DK Value and FD Value -- to show how much value that player is on each site, as well as a dedicated injury report page. More nuanced advice for your NBA DFS lineups -- check it out:
NOTE: APRIL 10 -- THE LAST DAY OF THE REGULAR SEASON -- WILL BE THE FINAL NBA DAILY PLUG FOR THE 2018-2019 CAMPAIGN,
Betting Odds & Line Movements
Highest Scoring Games:
SAC vs POR - o/u 229.5
OKC vs MIL - o/u 228
UTA vs LAC - o/u 225
SAC Kosta Koufos (OUT)
MIL Giannis Antetokounmpo, Brook Lopez, Tony Snell (OUT), Pat Connaughton (Questionable)
GSW Stephen Curry, DeMarcus Cousins, Draymond Green, Shaun Livingston (OUT), Klay Thompson, Kevin Durant (Questionable) DURANT, THOMPSON, AND IGUODALA ALL LIMITED TO 20ISH MINUTES!
CHI Zach Lavine, Kris Dunn, Otto Porter (OUT), Shaquille Harrison (Probable)
MEM Mike Conley, Joakim Noah, Avery Bradley (OUT), Chandler Parsons (Questionable)
MIA Josh Richardson (OUT) WADE NOT EXPECTED TO PLAY!
ORL Nikola Vucevic (Questionable) NIKOLA VUCEVIC IS OUT!
PHI Ben Simmons, Tobias Harris, Joel Embiid, J.J. Redick, Jonah Bolden, Jimmy Butler (OUT), Mike Scott (Questionable)
CHA Cody Zeller, Marvin Williams (OUT)
IND Myles Turner, Thaddeus Young, Bojan Bogdanovic (OUT)
DET Blake Griffin (Doubtful) GRIFFIN IS OUT!
NYK Allonzo Trier, Noah Vonleh (OUT), Lance Thomas, Kadeem Allen, Dennis Smith Jr., Mario Hezonja (Questionable)
DAL Maxi Kleber (OUT), Courtney Lee, Luka Doncic (Questionable)
POR C.J. McCollum, Damian Lillard (OUT)
MIN Luol Deng, Jerryd Bayless (OUT), Taj Gibson, Karl Anthony-Towns (Doubtful)
OKC Paul George (Questionable)
UTA Ricky Rubio, Raul Neto, Rudy Gobert, Derrick Favors, Kyle Korver, Donovan Mitchell (OUT)
Top Point Guards
Elite: Kemba Walker (DK: PG $9500, FD: PG $9800)
Mid: Eric Bledsoe (DK: PG $6800, FD: PG $7000)
Value: Quinn Cook (DK: PG/SG $3800, FD: PG $4000)
Kemba and the Hornets are not done yet, and in a slate where many of the expensive players will be sitting out or seeing reduced minutes, he is one that should lead his team in a fight for a final playoff spot. Not only that, but he is going up against a team that is also fighting for playoff seeding. This game is supposed to remain close, and in Kemba’s last six non-blowout games, he has averaged 58.75 DK points per game. Kemba should continue to see shot attempts and minutes as long as his team continues to have a shot in the playoffs. Therefore, unless the Pistons pull out to an extremely early lead in their game, expect Walker to be a top expensive option.
Giannis Antetokounmpo has been ruled out for the Bucks tonight and therefore many players are going to see a boost. Eric Bledsoe is a high risk option in our eyes as he will probably see his minutes restricted as his team is locked in with the best record in the NBA. You could go the high-risk option and assume otherwise. If you do that, you must know he is going to be involved in a high scoring affair against a Thunder team that ranks 9th worst in defensive rating against guards. The PG we really like from the Bucks for low risk is Tim Frazier. He is almost minimum price on both sites and saw 24 minutes last game with Bledsoe playing. He should see the same, if not more minutes than last time and is safe for 5-6x value with a high ceiling.
Steph Curry and Shaun Livingston have been ruled out tonight for the Warriors, and therefore the last true point guard on the roster is Quinn Cook. In 12 games without Curry this season, Cook is averaging 25 DK points per game and attempts over 11 FGA per contest as well. This is not just a game without Steph though, it is a game without Curry, Boogie, and Draymond, and possibly Durant and Thompson as well. Cook should see his usage and opportunities skyrocket tonight as the Warriors are trying to give their young guys some run. In this case, all the young guys for the Warriors are options tonight along with Cook. This means while we like Cook best, also keep in mind McKinnie, Lee, and Evans.
Top Shooting Guards
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