NBA DFS Lineups Advice: March 11
The Daily Plug is our daily NBA DFS lineups advice write-up that highlights the top plays from our Occupy Model. The Plug then provides actionable information for the main slate by making specific recommendations on how much of your bankroll to allocate and exactly which types of contests to play -- all depending on the type of player you are. Consider the Plug an in-depth roadmap for the main slate. Let’s get to it! Alright enough chatting, lets see who is going to make your lineups special tonight! - @gstroms99 and @tboyle24_DFS
Note that the Plug is only written for slates with 6+ games and is posted by 2pm EST on game days. Want analysis for every player in tonight's games for your NBA DFS lineups? Check out the Occupy Model.
We know value is important in NBA DFS, so we made two columns in our Occupy Model -- DK Value and FD Value -- to show how much value that player is on each site, as well as a dedicated injury report page. More nuanced advice for your NBA DFS lineups -- check it out:
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Betting Odds & Line Movements:
Highest Scoring Games:
NOP (-1.5) @ SAC, o/u 232.5
NYK @ ATL (-5), o/u 231.5
UTA @ OKC (-3.5), o/u 218.5
DET: John Henson (OUT), Bruce Brown (Questionable)
MIA: Tyler Herro, Kendrick Nunn (WILL PLAY), Jimmy Butler (IN), Jae Crowder (Probable)
PHI: Ben Simmons (OUT), Joel Embiid (WILL PLAY)
ATL: DeAndre Bembry (OUT)
DAL: Seth Curry (Questionable), Kristaps Porzingis (Expected to Sit) KRISTAPS PORZINGIS AND SETH CURRY HAVE BEEN RULED OUT! FINNEY-SMITH OUT
UTA: Ruby Gobert, Emmanuel Mudiay (Questionable)
CHA: Terry Rozier (OUT)
Top Point Guards
Elite: Luka Doncic (DK: PG $11000, FD: PG $11200)
Mid: De’Aaron Fox (DK: PG $7800, FD: PG $7800)
Tonight’s slate presents us with a top heavy point guard player pool, and it starts with Doncic who is most likely playing without his star counterpart, Kristaps Porzingis. In 12 games without Porzingis this season, Luka has produced 1.72 DK points per minute with a usage rate of 39.2%. We all know of Doncic’s potential at this point in his career and he is just 1.2 APG away from averaging a triple-double without Porzingis. Tonight, he will go up against a stronger Denver defense, but this game is expected to stay tight as it involves two of the better teams in the West. Once Porzingis is officially ruled out, expect Doncic’s ownership to skyrocket and you do not want to miss out as he is currently placed in the Occupy Model as second in OF Index to start the day.
De’Aaron Fox has been on quite a roll himself, and why not continue this stretch in a high scoring affair against one of the worst defenses in the NBA? Fox has produced 38 DK points in each of his last six games and 40+ in four of those games. This game against the Pelicans is expected to be the highest scoring on the night, with the Pelicans sitting as the second fastest paced team in the league. Fox’s price has been hovering around the $8000 range for a while due to his consistent play, which means he is extremely trustworthy in low-risk lineups tonight. This is a position to pay up at tonight and Fox is one of our favorite values.
Other PG Options: Elfrid Payton, Trae Young
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