NBA DFS Lineups Advice: January 20
The Daily Plug is our daily NBA DFS lineups advice write-up that highlights the top plays from our Occupy Model. The Plug then provides actionable information for the main slate by making specific recommendations on how much of your bankroll to allocate and exactly which types of contests to play -- all depending on the type of player you are. Consider the Plug an in-depth roadmap for the main slate. Let’s get to it! Alright enough chatting, lets see who is going to make your lineups special tonight! - @gstroms99 and @tboyle24_DFS
Note that the Plug is only written for slates with 6+ games and is posted by 2pm EST on game days. Want analysis for every player in tonight's games for your NBA DFS lineups? Check out the Occupy Model.
We know value is important in NBA DFS, so we made two columns in our Occupy Model -- DK Value and FD Value -- to show how much value that player is on each site, as well as a dedicated injury report page. More nuanced advice for your NBA DFS lineups -- check it out:
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Betting Odds & Line Movements:
Highest Scoring Games:
NOP @ MEM (-2.5), 239.5 o/u
OKC @ HOU (-6), 230 o/u
SAS @ PHO (-4.5), 228.5 o/u
CLE: Ante Zizic, Brandon Knight (OUT), John Henson (Questionable)
NOP: Kenrich Williams (OUT), Zion Williamson (Doubtful), Jrue Holiday, Jahlil Okafor, Derrick Favors (Questionable), J.J. Redick (Probable) Holiday IN, Favors OUT
BOS: Kemba Walker, Jaylen Brown (Questionable) WALKER AND BROWN IN
LAL: Rajon Rondo, Anthony Davis (Questionable) AD IN
SAC: Anthony Tolliver, Kent Bazemore, Richaun Holmes (OUT), Marvin Bagley III (Questionable), Nemanja Bjelica (Probable) BAGLEY WILL PLAY
POR: Trevor Ariza, Wenyen Gabriel, Caleb Swanigan, C.J. McCollum (OUT)
HOU: Austin Rivers (Questionable)
NYK: Dennis Smith Jr., R.J. Barrett (OUT)
MIA: Justise Winslow (OUT) BUTLER OUT
CHI: Wendell Carter Jr., Daniel Gafford (OUT)
ORL: D.J. Augustin, Jonathan Isaac (OUT)
DEN: Jamal Murray, Gary Harris, Paul Millsap (Questionable) Murray, Harris, Millsap all OUT
PHO: Aron Baynes (Doubtful), Cameron Johnson (Questionable), Kelly Oubre (Probable)
SAS: Rudy Gay (Doubtful)
GSW: Jacob Evans (OUT), Glenn Robinson III (Questionable)
OKC: Terrance Ferguson, Abdel Nader (OUT)
Top Point Guards
Elite: Damian Lillard (DK: PG $8400, FD: PG $8800)
Mid: Collin Sexton (DK: PG/SG $6100, FD: PG $5800
None of the now-Portland players from Sacramento who came over in the recent trade are expected to make their debuts tonight and C.J. McCollum has already been ruled out as well. This means the Trail Blazers are set for another night of an 8-man rotation unless they magically pick someone up. The other night running 8 men, Lillard struggled shooting 10-23, but was looked upon to carry the team. Tonight, he goes up against a Golden State defense that ranks second worst in the league against point guards and allows the 8th most PPG, 3rd highest FG%, and 9th most RPG. In two games against the Warriors this season, Lillard has averaged 56.5 DK points per game -- he opens up the day as our top point guard option. Also on the Blazers, Anfernee Simons is extremely cheap and available as a pay down option.
Darius Garland has started to see much more playing time on the Cavs, but this has not taken away from Sexton’s production at all. Sexton has produced 31+ DK points in five of his past six contests and tonight faces a Knicks team that ranks 3rd worst against point guards. Sexton and the Cavs have played the Knicks twice already this season, and the point guard has produced 30.5 DK points per game. His FanDuel price is especially cheaper tonight and with this game expected to stay close all the way through, Sexton should see all the minutes he can handle.
*Depending on if we get news of Mike Conley’s minutes, he could become one of the best value plays on the slate.
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