NBA DFS Lineups Advice: December 13
The Daily Plug is our daily NBA DFS lineups advice write-up that highlights the top plays from our Occupy Model. The Plug then provides actionable information for the main slate by making specific recommendations on how much of your bankroll to allocate and exactly which types of contests to play -- all depending on the type of player you are. Consider the Plug an in-depth roadmap for the main slate. Let’s get to it! Alright enough chatting, lets see who is going to make your lineups special tonight! - @gstroms99 and @tboyle24_DFS
Note that the Plug is only written for slates with 6+ games. Want analysis for every player in tonight's games for your NBA DFS lineups? Check out the Occupy Model.
We know value is important in NBA DFS, so we made two columns in our Occupy Model -- DK Value and FD Value -- to show how much value that player is on each site, as well as a dedicated injury report page. More nuanced advice for your NBA DFS lineups -- check it out:
DFS Magic now has a lineup builder for NBA classic and single game slates for DraftKings and FanDuel. It also directly imports OF Index values from the Occupy Model. Don't have access? Send us an email!
Betting Odds & Line Movements:
Highest Scoring Games:
HOU (-6) @ ORL, o/u 222
NOP @ PHI (-8), o/u 223
IND (-6) @ ATL, o/u 222.5
MIL (-11) @ MEM, o/u 228.5
LAL (-5) @ MIA, o/u 214
LAC (-5) @ MIN, o/u 230.5
CHA @ CHI (-6.5), o/u 214
NYK @ SAC (-8.5), o/u 208
GSW @ UTA (-13), o/u 210.5
LAL: Kyle Kuzma (OUT), Rajon Rondo (Questionable)
MIA: Justise Winslow, Goran Dragic, Dion Waiters (OUT), Tyler Herro (Questionable)
HOU: Tyson Chandler, Eric Gordon, Austin Rivers (Doubtful)
ORL: Al-Farouq Aminu (OUT), Nikola Vucevic, Markelle Fultz (QUESTIONABLE)
NOP: Derrick Favors (Questionable)
PHI: Al Horford (Questionable)AL HORFORD HAS BEEN RULED OUT!
ATL: John Collins (OUT)
CHA: Nicholas Batum (Doubtful), Malik Monk (Questionable)
CHI: Otto Porter (OUT), Chandler Hutinson (Doubtful)
MIL: Giannis Antetokounmpo (Questionable), Kyle Korver (OUT)
MEM: Ja Morant, Brandon Clarke, Grayson Allen (OUT)
GSW: Draymond Green, Ky Bowman (OUT), Eric Paschall (Doubtful)
UTA: Mike Conley (OUT)
LAC: Patrick Beverley, Landry Shamet, LOU WILLIAMS (OUT), JaMychal Green (OUT)
MIN: Jeff Teague, Keita Bates-Diop (Questionable), Jake Layman (OUT)
SAC: De’Aaron Fox (OUT)
Top Point Guards
Elite: Trae Young (DK: PG $9100, FD: PG $9600)
Value: De’Anthony Melton (DK: PG/SG $3900, FD: PG $4100)
Trae Young has been leading a team that has been struggling lately. When they have lost, they have lost by a lot, and even when they've won, it's been rough. It has been a lot more losing than winning lately and reports have come out saying Trae Young is starting to get very frustrated with this team’s performance. Tonight, he is going up against a Pacers team he destroyed just two weeks ago producing 62.75 DK points while attempting 28 field goals. Atlanta is just 6-point underdogs in this game, which means it is expected to stay close for the most part. If that is the case, Trae Young will be heavily involved and we should look to him at a discounted price as his DK price has dropped $1200 since last game!
Ja Morant is out for the Grizzlies tonight, which means De’Anthony Melton and Tyus Jones are expected to see extended roles. Melton has been getting more time off the bench than Jones and therefore is the one we expect Coach Jenkins to go with as the starter. Melton’s price has dropped $1200 since Ja Morant has returned from injury and he is one of the best values on the slate with that price discount. Without Morant, Melton averages over 27 DK points per game and has scored under 20 DK points just once. He also averages 1.17 DK points per minute without Morant, second on the team behind Jo Val. He is a top cash point guard on the slate.
Want to read the rest?
The full NBA Daily Plug is available for members only. Get our top plays & unique IF-THEN section to give you actionable NBA daily fantasy advice in case of last-minute scratches before lock.
Six reasons why you should become a member of Occupy Fantasy.
Members get access to ALL SPORTS, so SIGN UP NOW.