NFL Daily Plug: Monday Edition
The Monday Daily Plug is an abbreviated version of the Sunday Daily Plug, intended to give you some tips, picks, and lineup advice for Monday's single game NFL matchup for DFS and sports betting purposes. The highlights:
- Players to target/avoid in the Monday game
- Recommended bankroll allocation for the Monday Showdown slate
- Optimal contest selection for the single game slate
The Monday NFL Daily Plug will be posted by 4pm EST on game days.
For analysis on every player for this slate, check out the Occupy Model.
For in-depth single game NFL DFS strategy, download our NFL Showdown DFS Strategy Guide to get a huge edge on the field.
Let's get to the game!
LAR -6, 45
Team Totals (move)
Bears 19.50 (-0.25)
Rams 25.50 (-0.75)
Spread Bet Percentages
Los Angeles 48%
Injuries To Watch:
There aren’t any major injuries to monitor, as Tyler Higbee is the only position player listed as questionable -- but he’s expected to play.
Coming off a 198-yard performance versus San Francisco in Week 6, Jared Goff is the most expensive player on FanDuel and DraftKings tonight and is expected to be one of the most popular players on the slate. In a low total game, there shouldn’t be a ton of fantasy scoring, and since Vegas lines heavily influence projection systems, Goff is projected to be one of the highest scoring players with the Rams as six-point favorites.
How we view Goff tonight depends on the type of contest we play. Given the Rams’ betting market positioning, Goff is one of the safest players to score 10 or more fantasy points -- in low-risk contests, he should be our preferred MVP and of the first players we roster.
But in high-risk contests as one of the most popular CPTs (and THE most popular MVP), he doesn’t have the upside required to offset that popularity against a defense that hasn’t allowed a QB to score more than 17.1 FanDuel points in six games this season.
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