NFL Daily Plug: Sunday Night Primetime Edition - Showdown DFS Picks & Advice for FanDuel & DraftKings

The Sunday Night Primetime Daily Plug is an abbreviated version of the Sunday Main Slate Daily Plug, intended to give you some tips, picks, and lineup advice for the primetime Sunday night single game NFL matchup for DFS and sports betting purposes. The highlights:

• Player rankings and NFL DFS picks for various contest types
• Overall slate thoughts from Occupy staff member Chuck Silver
• Specific lineup constructions for different contest sizes
• Bankroll and contest recommendations

BEFORE READING:

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• Want analysis and projected ownership for every player on the slate? Check out the Occupy Model.
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Note: Plug will be updated by 5pm EST for each Sunday primetime slate.

UPDATES WILL BE IN BLUE AFTER THE PLUG IS PUBLISHED.

Betting Odds:

Spread, Total
MIA -2.5, 46.5

55% of bets on the under

Team Totals (move)
Dolphins 24.5 (0)
Patriots 22 (0)

Spread Bet Percentages
Dolphins 77%

Patriots 23%

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Injuries To Watch:

Devante Parker (Knee) is Q, if he plays he’s a fine low owned option. If he’s out, Boutte should have more opportunity and is dirt cheap. Watch out for his ownership closer to lock, he could come in higher than we expect. DeVante Parker is IN, Boutte is OUT. We have more confidence in DeVante than we did in Boutte, although Parker is a bit more $. DeVante in could affect the other Pats WR, namely Juju and Bourne but we still consider them the same risk as we did before.

De'Von Achane is IN. His price makes him a high-risk only play

NFL Showdown DFS Picks & Player Rankings:

Below are our preferred plays for different contest types and roster spots. Plays are listed in order of preference. 

Definitions:
Low-Risk: Contests where roughly half the field doubles their entry fee (e.g. H2Hs, Double Ups, etc.)
Small-Field High-Risk: Contests with exponential payouts and/or where a smaller portion of the field gets paid with fewer than 500 entrants (e.g. Multipliers, Leagues, smaller GPPs)
Large-Field High-Risk: Contests with exponential payouts and/or where a smaller portion of the field gets paid with more than 500 entrants (e.g. Multipliers, Leagues, smaller GPPs)

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