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NFL Daily Plug: Thursday Edition - Showdown DFS Picks & Advice for FanDuel & DraftKings

NFL Daily Plug: Thursday Edition - Showdown DFS Picks & Advice for FanDuel & DraftKingsThe Thursday Daily Plug is an abbreviated version of the Sunday Daily Plug, intended to give you some tips, picks, and lineup advice for Thursday’s single game NFL matchup for DFS and sports betting purposes. The highlights:

    • Player rankings and NFL DFS picks for various contest types
    • Overall slate thoughts from Occupy staff member bismo
    • Specific lineup constructions for different contest sizes
    • Bankroll and contest recommendations

BEFORE READING:

Note: Plug will be updated by 5pm EST for each Thursday primetime slate.

UPDATES WILL BE IN BLUE AFTER THE PLUG IS PUBLISHED.

Betting Odds:

Spread, Total
Lions -1.0, 45.5

Team Totals (move)
Lions 23.25 (+0.75)
Packers 22.25 (+0.25)

Spread Bet Percentages
Lions 63%
Packers 37%

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Injuries To Watch:

RB Aaron Jones (hamstring) is Q but expected to play.

RB David Montgomery (thigh) is Q but expected to play.

WR Christian Watson (hamstring) is Q but expected to play on a snap count.

NFL Showdown DFS Picks & Player Rankings:

Below are our preferred plays for different contest types and roster spots. Plays are listed in order of preference. 

Definitions:
Low-Risk: Contests where roughly half the field doubles their entry fee (e.g. H2Hs, Double Ups, etc.)
Small-Field High-Risk: Contests with exponential payouts and/or where a smaller portion of the field gets paid with less than 500 entrants (e.g. Multipliers, Leagues, smaller GPPs)
Large-Field High-Risk: Contests with exponential payouts and/or where a smaller portion of the field gets paid with more than 500 entrants (e.g. Multipliers, Leagues, smaller GPPs)

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