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NFL Daily Plug: Thursday Edition

NFL DFS Picks
The Thursday Daily Plug is an abbreviated version of the Sunday Daily Plug, intended to give you a quick rundown on Thursday’s NFL matchup for DFS and sports betting purposes. The highlights:

  • Players to target/avoid in the Thursday game
  • Recommended bankroll allocation for the Thursday Showdown slate
  • Optimal contest selection for the single game slate

For analysis on every player for this slate, check out the Occupy Model.

Let’s get to the game!

Betting Odds:

Betting Odds
BAL -17.5, 45

Team Totals (move)
Jets 13.75 (-1.00)
Ravens 31.25 (+2.00)

Spread Bet Percentages
New York 49%
Baltimore 51%

Betting odds and percentage information from SportsInteraction. Use our link to get a 100% bonus up to $200!

Injuries To Watch:

BAL QB Lamar Jackson is listed as questionable, but he will play.

BAL TE Mark Andrews is actually questionable with a knee injury, but is expected to "give it a go"

For the Jets, RB Bilal Powell and TE Ryan Griffin are OUT while WR Demaryius Thomas is doubtful. Le’Veon Bell will start at RB with Ty Montgomery backing him up, Daniel Brown will be the primary TE, and Vyncint Smith will fill in on 3 WR sets.

Expensive Plays:

Lamar Jackson
At $17,500 on FanDuel and $13,800 on DraftKings ($20,700 CPT!), Lamar Jackson is one of the highest-priced Showdown players this season. Last time the Ravens played on primetime, Jackson, despite his exorbitant salary, was rostered as the MVP in nearly 70 percent of FanDuel contests, and 33 percent in CPT spots on DraftKings (89 percent overall). And as we said in this Plug last time Jackson played, he’s a cheat code with his rushing ability and most usual single game strategy goes out the window. It’s not impossible to fit him in, either, as there are a few value plays thanks to injuries. Depending on the type of contest you’re playing, the best bet is just using Jackson as the MVP/CPT in all of your lineups (especially on FD). In top-heavy contests (such as satellites that award just one ticket) there’s merit to using less than the field in the hopes that Jackson isn’t the highest scoring player on the slate.

Want to read the rest?

The full NFL Thursday Plug is available for members only. Get the rest of the popular plays, our top low-owned players PLUS our Contest Selection section that gives you the most profitable contest types for this game.

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