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NFL DFS Picks & Strategy, Week 13 Main Slate

NFL DFS Picks
BAL QB Lamar Jackson

This is the Sunday Main Slate NFL Daily Plug! Occupy Fantasy’s Chris Rooney has written up a guide to the slate using the Occupy Model, betting line movements, and news updates. Keep an eye on this page, updates will be made IN BLUE on Sunday mornings if anything changes.

NFL DFS Plug is posted for Main Slates, and is fully updated by 8:00pm on Fridays. 

Follow Occupy Fantasy on Twitter for updates through lock. Keep an eye on this page, updates will be made IN BLUE on Sunday mornings if anything changes. 

Watch our Live YouTube Q&A on Saturday at 2:00pm.

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Want analysis for every player on the slate? Check out the Occupy Model. Want help building lineups? Our Lineup Builder is available to members with a standard or premium subscription.

UPDATES

SUNDAY:
DeVante Parker is expected to play for Miami. 
The Rams are "not optimistic" about Darrell Henderson today, per Adam Schefter.

SATURDAY:

Eagles beat writer Derrick Gunn is reporting Jalen Hurts is out, Gardner Minshew will start tomorrow. National reporters are saying Eagles will give Hurts chance to warm up in the AM, so stay tuned.

Vikings RB Kene Nwangwu was downgraded to questionable with an illness per Adam Schefter.

BETTING ODDS

Biggest Favorites:
Los Angeles Rams, -13
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, -10.5
Indianapolis Colts, -10

Minnesota Vikings, -7.5
Arizona Cardinals, -7.5

Highest Game Totals:
TB@ATL, 50.5
LAC@CIN, 50
WAS@LV, 49
JAX@LAR, 47.5
MIN@DET, 47

Highest Implied Team Totals:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 30.5
Los Angeles Rams, 30.25

Indianapolis Colts, 27.5
Minnesota Vikings, 27.25
Cincinnati Bengals, 26.5

Lowest Implied Team Totals:
New York Giants, 16.75
Jacksonville Jaguars, 17.25
Houston Texans, 17.5
Chicago Bears, 17.75

GAMES TO STACK

If you read our NFL DFS Strategy Guide, then you know game stacking is the key to unlocking correlated upside in your NFL DFS classic lineups (if you haven’t, go read it). The guide discusses how to identify the best game stack opportunities each week.

We highly recommend 3x1 game stacks in your Sunday main slate tournament lineups - that means pairing a QB with two of his teammates, and also using an opposing pass catcher.

Each team is different, so below we’ll outline our preferred stacking partners based on matchups and personnel in our favorite games.

Plays are listed in order of preference, highest risk players are italicized.

Read Our Free Strategy Guide

LAC@CIN

With a high 50 point total, the Chargers and Bengals have an extremely high ceiling as a game stack opportunity. The Bengals are slight home favorites, and feature Ja'Marr Chase and Joe Mixon as primary weapons with upside. The Chargers pass at the second highest rate in the NFL, and have Keenan Allen, Mike Williams and Austin Ekeler at their disposal. 

Best LAC Pairs with Justin Herbert
Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams

Highest Risk LAC Pairs with Justin Herbert
Jared Cook, Jalen Guyton

Best “Bring Backs” with CIN
Austin Ekeler, Keenan Allen, Mike Williams, Jared Cook, Jalen Guyton

Best CIN Pairs with Joe Burrow
Joe Mixon, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins

Highest Risk CIN Pairs with Joe Burrow
Tyler Boyd, C.J. Uzomah

Best “Bring Backs” with LAC
Joe Mixon, Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, C.J. Uzomah

Want to read the rest?

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Situation statistics sourced from Stathead.com. DVOA data from FootballOutsiders.com. Air yards data pulled from AirYards.com. All salaries from contest providers. While we like the player pool selected above, we reserve the right to roster other players should news and trends closer to lock push us in that direction. Pay attention to our stream schedule for discussion of those thoughts!