NFL DFS Picks & Strategy, Week 2 Main Slate
This is the Sunday Main Slate NFL Daily Plug! Occupy Fantasy’s Chris Rooney has written up a guide to the slate using the Occupy Model, betting line movements, and news updates. Keep an eye on this page, updates will be made IN BLUE on Sunday mornings if anything changes.
NFL DFS Plug is posted for Main Slates, and is fully updated by 8:00pm on Fridays.
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Keep an eye on this page, updates will be made IN BLUE on Sunday mornings if anything changes. For NFL Inactives, visit this link to the NFL.com page - updates roughly 90 minutes before kickoff for each game.
Consider the Plug an in-depth road map for the main slate. Let’s get to it!
Want analysis for every player on the slate? Check out the Occupy Model. Want help building lineups? Our Lineup Builder is available to members with a standard or premium subscription.
BETTING ODDS
Biggest Favorites:
Cleveland Browns, -13.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, -13
Seattle Seahawks, -6.5
Pittsburgh Steelers, -6.5
Highest Game Totals:
TEN@SEA, 54.5
DAL@LAC, 54.5
ATL@TB, 51.5
MIN@ARI, 50.5
SF@PHI, 50
Highest Implied Team Totals:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers, 32.25
Seattle Seahawks, 30.5
Cleveland Browns, 30.5
Los Angeles Chargers, 29.0
Arizona Cardinals, 27.25
Lowest Implied Team Totals:
Houston Texans, 17.0
New York Jets, 18.5
Atlanta Falcons, 19.25
GAMES TO STACK
If you read our NFL DFS Strategy Guide, then you know game stacking is the key to unlocking correlated upside in your NFL DFS classic lineups (if you haven’t, go read it). The guide discusses how to identify the best game stack opportunities each week.
We highly recommend 3x1 game stacks in your Sunday main slate tournament lineups - that means pairing a QB with two of his teammates, and also using an opposing pass catcher.
Each team is different, so below we’ll outline our preferred stacking partners based on matchups and personnel in our favorite games.
Plays are listed in order of preference, highest risk players are italicized.
TEN@SEA
Two of the top five QBs in the Occupy Model come from this game. It has a 54.5 point total in betting markets, which is tied for highest of the weekend. Russell Wilson projects to see the least amount of pressure from an opposing defense in Week 2, as well.
Best SEA Pairs with Russell Wilson
Chris Carson, Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf
Highest Risk SEA Pairs with Russell Wilson
Will Dissly, Gerald Everett, Freddie Swain, DeeJay Dallas
Best “Bring Backs” with TEN
Tyler Lockett, DK Metcalf, Chris Carson, Will Dissly, Freddie Swain, Gerald Everett, DeeJay Dallas
Best TEN Pairs with Ryan Tannehill
Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, Julio Jones
Highest Risk Pairs with Ryan Tannehill
Josh Reynolds, Chester Rogers, Anthony Firkser
Best “Bring Backs” with SEA
Derrick Henry, A.J. Brown, Julio Jones, Josh Reynolds, Chester Rogers, Anthony Firkser
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Situation statistics sourced from Stathead.com. DVOA data from FootballOutsiders.com. Air yards data pulled from AirYards.com. All salaries from contest providers. While we like the player pool selected above, we reserve the right to roster other players should news and trends closer to lock push us in that direction. Pay attention to our stream schedule for discussion of those thoughts!