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PGA DFS Picks

PGA DFS Picks: The PGA Daily Plug for the British Open

We’re trying out a PGA Model this week for The British Open, the last major of the 2019 PGA Tour championship season. These are the top PGA DFS picks from our Occupy Model for PGA. All premium subscribers have access to the full model. Need to upgrade from a standard to a premium subscription? Let us know and we’ll take care of you!

Notable Betting Odds:

Biggest Favorites (To Win):
Rory McIlroy (+770)
Brooks Koepka (+975)
Jon Rahm (+1,380)
Dustin Johnson (+1,530)
Henrik Stenson (+2,000)
Justin Thomas (+2,000)
Patrick Cantlay (+2,000)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2,000)

Use the PGA Model to look at line movements, with such massive odds disparities, line movement numbers are relative to opening odds for each golfer. Not all similar number moves are the same.

Weather:

Our guy Kevin Roth has a weather preview for Royal Portrush in Northern Ireland up on RotoGrinders. Roth has Thursday projected to be windy and rainy, worst day of the tournament. The reality is the entire field of golfers has to deal with the same conditions (unless you can time your selections for tee times that are in the best weather spots, good luck with that). Guys who are good at keeping balls in the fairway are going to be critical potentially, because this wind will probably challenge the field.

Course Info:

The Dunluce Links at Royal Portrush Golf Club runs 7,344 yards and will play as a Par 71 for the 148th British Open Championship. A links course emphasizes natural terrain, as the style dates back to the invention of the game of golf, and a time where course designers and landscapers didn’t have much opportunity to shape the course themselves.

This course length could translate into a good weekend for golfers who have a strength at hitting it far off the tee, and keeping the golf ball out of rough cut grass.

Key Stats:

PGA has a lot of data available for you to consider. This week, the following stats are important. This changes week to week based on course characteristics in PGA DFS. 

Average Driving Distance
Driving Accuracy Percentage
Birdie-Or-Better Percentage
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Ball Striking
Strokes Gained: Par 4s 450-500 Yards
Sand Saves
Bogey Avoid
Putting Variance* - custom Occupy Fantasy analysis

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